Looking ahead to 2025, we took the opportunity to explore Kairos Future’s future outlook, which we’re happy to share with all of you in a summarized form. Follow us regularly if you want insights into the trends and driving forces that will shape the near future—starting already this year.

The Enduring Forces: Green Transition and Smarter Digital Colleagues

But not everything is moving in a new direction—some developments continue at full speed. One of these is the green transition. Despite temporary setbacks and uneven progress, the green revolution continues to gain momentum. Prices for solar and wind energy are steadily decreasing, and more and more companies are joining the Science-Based Targets Initiative to take responsibility for their climate impact. Already more than two years ago, companies representing a third of the world’s total stock market value had joined the initiative. Since then, the number of participants has more than doubled, and the number of companies with climate targets aligned with the Paris Agreement has tripled.

At the same time, the digital transformation is continuing at full strength—and with AI, progress is accelerating significantly. With generative AI, improvements are happening at a pace we’ve never seen before—instead of a yearly capacity increase of about 50 percent, we’re now seeing improvements of up to 300 percent per year. This is impacting everything from scientific research to everyday life. A clear example is DeepMind’s AlphaFold, which within just one year managed to map the structure of 200 million proteins. Previously, identifying a single protein could take up to four years—an improvement equivalent to 800 million times, thanks to AI.

But the question is whether Sweden is keeping up with this rapid development. The Swedish AI Commission has proposed investments of SEK 2.5 billion per year—but is that enough to make Sweden a leading AI nation? Right now, we’re losing ground in international AI rankings, where the public sector’s lagging pace stands out in particular. Sweden is now placed in the same category as countries like Indonesia, Pakistan, Ghana, and Romania—not exactly the level we aspire to be at.

Now that we’ve gained insight into what is uncertain and what is stable, the natural question becomes: what will this mean for all of us? How will we be affected, what can we do, and how should we act in the coming years in this time of uncertainty? In our upcoming episodes, we will highlight seven shifts and key questions that we need to relate to, with our eyes on 2030.

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